Since the reform and opening up, our economy has been growing at a rapid pace, which resulted in a massive influx of population to the big cities and the increase of the foreign population has resulted in pressure on traffic inside cities. Because of their speed, their large volume of traffic, punctuality, safety and comfort of travelers, urban transport by rail have gradually become an efficient means to de-clutter traffic in major cities and solve the problems of mobility of inhabitants. UMTS in the construction and flow forecasts for exploitation in the media play a crucial role, as well as those of the main study here short-term forecasting methods tourist flows,Finally the southeastern part of the two metro line to Hangzhou, examples of calculation for the prediction methods of forecasting model reduced gray traffic traffic on a next month three methods of precision testing assume you precision applications forecasting models streams find Hangzhou (metro southeast part of the two-line too short passenger forecast models of passenger traffic. forecasting accuracy and applicability of this method were obtained by a comparative analysis of actual and projected flow.