1. The town (area) the development

1. The town (area) the development trend of the next seven years on the whole similar to the city, zong Considering the trend analysis of different development types and the overall planning division of urban and rural areas in zhongshan city, the recommended model of zhongshan city is resource-conserving. East district, xiaolan town and dongsheng town can choose two development modes, resource saving or environmental protection, from two different emphases of intensive use of natural resources and ecological environment protection. The recommended model of wugui mountain is environmental protection; The recommended model of fusha town and nanlang town is coordinated development. The recommended development models of other towns are resource-saving.V. conclusion and discussion1, the conclusion in this paper, the innovative in zhongshan and subordinate 24 town (district) makes an analysis of the environmental bearing capacity of land resources, and five kinds of models to forecast analysis, the evaluation results in line with the local actual, (area) for the town of zhongshan city and the evaluation of land management to provide data support. Research conclusion for the following two aspects. (1) in the town of zhongshan city and 24 (zone) of land resource environmental bearing capacity score, score of 0.3438, zhongshan city, state of bearing in lower level; Shiqi district has the highest score of 0.6095 and is in a high state. Shaxi town has the lowest score of 0.3920, which is in a low state. Bearing capacity of the rest of the town (area) are still in the intermediate state. (2) comprehensive consideration and 24 town of zhongshan city (area) the future development of the model and the local actual situation, the recommendation of zhongshan development model for resource conservation. Towns (area) the ideal development of type: huangpu town recommend status continue type and two kinds of resource economizing type, from the east, xiaolan town, and dongsheng townThe intensive use of natural resources and protect the ecological environment of two different focus, select resource conservation or environmental protection type two kinds of development model, five guishan recommended model for environmental protection type, mound of sand town and nam long town recommend model to coordinate developmental, the rest of the townships (area) the recommended development model for resource conservation.2, discussion in the process of land resource environmental bearing capacity evaluation of zhongshan city, has the following several aspects also needs further research and discussion. (1) in the evaluation of bearing capacity of cultivated land, only consider population bearing capacity of cultivated land, cultivated land actually also has the ecological carrying capacity. Without calculating the ecological carrying capacity of cultivated land in the study, mainly because of the main functions of the cultivated land is the production function (including grain and cash crops). (2) the study chooses five model, predicted the bearing capacity of land resources and environment of zhongshan city in 2020 was evaluated, the prediction method is selected in zhongshan in 2009-2013 data of the maximum, average and minimum Value, without considering the influence of future economic crisis, social development and other factors. Whether the future forecast results are consistent with future development remains to be further studied and discussed.